Research on Development Forecast of New Energy Vehicles in Yangtze River Delta Based on GM(1,1) Model

The development of new energy vehicles in the Yangtze River Delta region of China plays an important role in achieving the goal of “double carbon” (peak carbon dioxide emissions and carbon neutrality). By studying the development of new energy vehicles in the Yangtze River Delta region, this paper constructs a comprehensive analysis and prediction framework. In this paper, firstly, the development of new energy vehicles in the Yangtze River Delta region of China is analyzed in detail, and the position and function of new energy vehicle production in this region are deeply discussed. Secondly, the GM(1,1) grey prediction model is established. Through the analysis of historical data, the model successfully predicts the development trend of new energy vehicles, and provides a useful reference for policy formulation and technology research and development of new energy vehicle industry in the future. In addition, this paper studies the evolution of the market share of new energy vehicles and traditional fuel vehicles in China, and finds that the market share of new energy vehicles increases exponentially with time, while the market share of traditional fuel vehicles increases linearly with time. It provides an important reference for policy makers and industry participants.