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Stock Market Prediction Using ML Module

  • Sonal Jathe,
  • D. N. Chaudhari

摘要

Predicting how stock prices will go in the future has always been difficult. The efficient market hypothesis asserts that no predictive framework can be constructed that can effectively predict the movement of stock prices, yet this assertion is false. The seemingly random movement patterns of the stock price time series can be anticipated with a high degree of accuracy. Selecting the right variables, using the right methods for transforming variables, and fine-tuning the right model parameters are all required for risk-adjusted prediction models. In this research, we introduce a very accurate and reliable approach for predicting stock prices with risk analysis, using methods from statistics and machine learning. We utilize daily stock price data obtained at five-minute intervals from a credible company trading on India’s National Stock Exchange (NSE). Granular data collected over the course of a day is aggregated, and the total amount of information is used to train and develop forecasting models. We argue that the integration of statistical and machine learning techniques into the model-building process has the potential to learn from the unpredictable fluctuations in stock prices with much greater success and much less uncertainty. As a result of this efficient training, models for predicting stock price fluctuations and short-term trends will be very robust and risk-averse. When creating models for regression and classification, we employ statistical and machine learning techniques. Significant data on the effectiveness of these models has been released, and it has been subjected to rigorous analysis.