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Analytical Research of Energy Loss in Electrical Grid Systems

  • Ashraf Zaghwan,
  • Indra Gunawan,
  • Mahmoud Efatmaneshnik

摘要

In the attempts made in this research, various endeavours were undertaken to examine the impact of human behaviours on cases of individual and grouping levels while consuming electricity and inducing energy loss in a complex grid system. It concerns the problem that emerges from the lack of leverage among electricity's demand and supply sides and the role of policy and regulatory reforms. This study's original contribution goes to quantify the energy loss caused by individual end-users regarding the perception of average, peak and off-peak demands. It provides a greater understanding of these chaotic interactions, which, in turn, will facilitate efficiency improvement. The simulation undertaken in this study incorporates nondeterministic PERT and Monte Carlo methods. Using data frame contains 10,512,000 million data points of electricity demand for 290 end-users, where their results are compared analytically against energy loss phenomena driven by end-users. This study's probabilistic simulation process of energy loss encompassed iterative end-users for one financial year.