A Spatial Analysis of the Effects of Neighborhood Socio-economic Status on Residential Burglaries in Tokyo: Focusing on the Spatial Heterogeneity and the Interactions with Built Environment

This study explores the relationship between neighborhood socio-economic status (SES) and the crime rate of residential burglaries in the wards of Tokyo, focusing on the spatial heterogeneity of this relationship and the moderating role of SES on the relationship between crime rate and the built environment. The results are as follows: (1) While global model shows that the proportion of high-income neighbors is negatively and significantly associated with the neighborhood residential burglary rate, the local model, calibrated by geographically weighed regression estimation, indicates that there are local variations in this relationship. (2) Significant interactions between neighborhood income composition and physical indicators such as road area ratio and distance to the nearest rail station suggest that the links between the residential burglary rate and the built environment are conditioned by neighborhood SES.