A Scenario Analysis of the Transportation System in Vietnam Based on Life Cycle Simulation

The transportation system in Vietnam is based mainly on motorcycles, with few passenger vehicles and little public transportation. In addition, ride-sharing services for motorcycles are popular in Vietnam. To reduce the environmental load in Vietnam, changes in the transportation system should be analyzed. In this study, we evaluated the environmental load of the Vietnamese transportation system in various scenarios by using a lifecycle simulation. The main changes in the transportation system were in the electricity mix, the mode of transportation, and the ride-sharing diffusion rate. The results show that it is necessary to not only increase the use of electric motorcycles but also to change the power mix and develop manufacturing technology.