MDSE-SLSTM: A Mobility-Driven Based Deep Learning Framework for Passenger Flow Distribution Forecasting in Multimodal Transportation Hub
摘要
To address the challenges of accurately reconstructing passenger travel chains and predicting the spatiotemporal distribution of passenger flow in transportation hubs, this paper proposes a deep learning architecture based on mobility-driven spatial embedding and extended long short-term memory networks (MDSE-sLSTM). Initially, we conducted route choice behavior experiments in a virtual reality (VR) hub scenario to reconstruct passenger mobility chains. Then, using Skip-gram, we analyzed the semantic correlations between nodes representing functional areas to achieve a spatially embedded representation of the hub area, obtaining spatial correlation features. In the temporal dimension, an extended bidirectional long short-term memory network with multi-head attention mechanism was employed to jointly learn the time-varying patterns of passenger flow data. Validation on the passenger flow distribution dataset of Tianjin West Station shows that the MDSE-sLSTM model outperforms traditional prediction models. Ablation experiments further confirm that the method of extracting spatial features based on mobility-driven approaches significantly improves passenger flow prediction compared to extracting spatial features based on the actual physical network.