Predicting Future Automobile Ownership Trends in Uzbekistan Using Linear Regression

The rapid urbanization and economic growth of Uzbekistan over the past decades have engendered significant changes in automobile ownership trends. Understanding these trends is crucial for infrastructure planning, sustainable transportation strategies, and environmental considerations. This Paper seeks to employ Machine Learning (ML) techniques to forecast the number of cars per 100 households in Uzbekistan by 2025, based on historical data from 2010, 2015, and 2020. The dataset, derived from official statistics provided by the State Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan on Statistics, shows a remarkable increase from 21 cars per 100 households in 2010 to 48 by 2020. Leveraging regression models, we aim to predict the expected growth for 2025. Preliminary analyses hint at a continuing upward trend, impacted potentially by factors such as Population growth, GDP growth, urban migration, and increasing global connectivity. The findings from this research will not only serve as a prediction tool but will also shed light on the socio-economic factors influencing car ownership, providing valuable insights to policymakers and urban planners. While the limited data points present a challenge for complex model utilization, the study underscores the potential of ML in forecasting and the need for more comprehensive data collection in future studies. The predictive insights drawn from this research can significantly aid in shaping transportation policies, mitigating potential environmental impacts, and planning urban infrastructures in Uzbekistan.