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Using Monte Carlo Methods for Retirement Simulations of the 401K and IRA

  • Aditya Gupta,
  • Vijay Kumar Tayal

摘要

Retirement prediction helps individuals and institutions make informed financial, lifestyle, and workforce decisions based on estimated retirement portfolios. This paper attempts to predict retirement using Monte Carlo simulations, allowing one to probabilistically account for a range of possibilities. The authors propose a model to predict the values of the IRA and 401(k) through the simulation of inflation rates, interest rates, and other pertinent factors. They provide a user case study to discuss the implications of the proposed model.