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Credibility Evaluation of Renewable Energy Comprehensive Capacity Based on Recursive Function Method

  • Yinsheng Su,
  • Hongyue Zhen,
  • Qian Ma,
  • Ligang Zhao,
  • Runzhi Mu,
  • Tinghui Zhou,
  • Yuan Xu

摘要

For landscape renewable energy access areas, there is not only a correlation between wind farms and photovoltaic power plants, but also a certain correlation between wind power and photovoltaic power generation. When evaluating the credibility of the comprehensive capacity of landscape renewable energy, the reliability evaluation index selects the unloading rate of the commonly used index, and the credibility of the capacity needs to be estimated. The traditional Monte Carlo simulation method has a long calculation speed. This paper proposes to use the recursive function method to calculate the trusted capacity, further improve the calculation speed of the trusted capacity, and verify the feasibility of the method from two aspects of calculation speed and calculation error. And explore the impact of different scenery ratio and different total installed capacity on the credibility of the comprehensive capacity.