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Cropping Systems and Application of Models

  • Mukhtar Ahmed,
  • Shakeel Ahmad,
  • Ghulam Abbas,
  • Sajjad Hussain,
  • Gerrit Hoogenboom

摘要

Deterioration of land due to intensive agriculture is creating trouble for food security. Hence, appropriate measures should be taken to prevent land from destruction. This includes adoption of sustainable cropping systems under changing climate through the aid of process-based models. Cropping systems and application of models are closely intertwined in modern agriculture. Crop models, often referred to as agricultural or crop simulation models, are mathematical and computational tools used to simulate and predict the growth and behavior of crops under various environmental and management conditions. These models are valuable for optimizing cropping systems, enhancing agricultural productivity, and addressing sustainability challenges. In this chapter, we elaborate how crop models can assist in designing cropping systems by simulating the performance of different crops and rotations under specific climatic, soil, and management conditions that helps farmers and agricultural planners to choose the most appropriate crops and cropping patterns to achieve their goals, whether it is maximizing yields, minimizing risk, or promoting sustainability, e.g., regenerative agriculture. Similarly, models can help farmers select the most suitable crop varieties and species for their region and climate. Furthermore, they can simulate the effects of crop rotation on soil health, pest and disease management, and overall system sustainability. Farmers can use these models to plan crop rotations that enhance soil fertility, reduce the risk of pests and diseases, and improve long-term productivity. Similarly, models can optimize sowing and harvest timing to maximize crop yields and quality as they consider factors such as climate, soil conditions, and crop growth stages to recommend the best timing for planting and harvesting. Crop models are valuable for optimizing resource use, including water, nutrients, and pesticides as they can help farmers make informed decisions about irrigation scheduling, nutrient application rates, and pest control measures, reducing waste and environmental impact. With climate change, models are critical for adapting cropping systems to changing environmental conditions. They can predict how different crops will perform under altered climate scenarios and guide the selection of climate-resilient varieties and practices. Crop models can provide yield predictions based on current and future conditions, allowing farmers to estimate their expected harvest. This information is essential for crop insurance, marketing, and financial planning. Researchers use crop models to test new agricultural practices, crop varieties, and technologies in a virtual environment. This accelerates the development and testing of innovative approaches to improve cropping systems. Policymakers and agricultural extension services use crop models to design and promote sustainable agricultural policies and practices. These models help align agricultural policies with sustainability and food security goals. Finally, crop models are valuable tools for educating farmers and agricultural professionals about the principles of crop growth and management. They provide a practical way to understand complex interactions in cropping systems.