Overnight Stock Movement Prediction Based on Dynamic Graph Neural Networks
摘要
Overnight stock movement prediction is vital for pre-market decision-making, enabling refined trading strategies and improved risk management. Traditional approaches often neglect sector-level interdependencies and fail to model the dynamic nature of stock networks, particularly under volatile market conditions. To overcome these limitations, we propose DGCN-DGRU, a novel framework that integrates Dynamic Graph Convolutional Networks (DGCN) with Dynamic Gated Recurrent Units (DGRU). DGCN captures sector-specific relationships and latent structural patterns, while DGRU fuses multi-source temporal data to enhance predictive accuracy and robustness. Extensive evaluation on real-world datasets from three countries demonstrates that our model outperforms existing methods, offering a robust and adaptable solution for overnight stock trend forecasting. This study highlights the effectiveness of combining dynamic graph learning with recurrent architectures in financial time series prediction.