Efficient and sustainable transportation systems are crucial. This paper introduces an innovative approach to optimizing ship scheduling in waterborne public transportation by leveraging deep learning-driven demand prediction. Employing the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) model for superior forecasting performance, the study integrates dynamic and static data inputs to predict transportation demand accurately. A two-stage methodology comprising a TFT-based demand prediction model and a scheduling decision module is proposed, utilizing a mathematical model aimed at cost minimization. The model’s effectiveness is demonstrated through real-world data, showcasing optimized capacity adjustments that align closely with actual demand, thus reducing scheduling discrepancies and enhancing service quality. This work signifies a pivotal step toward utilizing deep learning for maritime transportation management, emphasizing the potential economic and societal benefits of AI applications in this field.

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Demand Prediction-Enhanced Ship Scheduling Optimization in Waterborne Transportation

  • Yukuan Wang,
  • Jingxian Liu,
  • Jiayi Zhang,
  • Hongchu Yu,
  • Lichao Yang

摘要

Efficient and sustainable transportation systems are crucial. This paper introduces an innovative approach to optimizing ship scheduling in waterborne public transportation by leveraging deep learning-driven demand prediction. Employing the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) model for superior forecasting performance, the study integrates dynamic and static data inputs to predict transportation demand accurately. A two-stage methodology comprising a TFT-based demand prediction model and a scheduling decision module is proposed, utilizing a mathematical model aimed at cost minimization. The model’s effectiveness is demonstrated through real-world data, showcasing optimized capacity adjustments that align closely with actual demand, thus reducing scheduling discrepancies and enhancing service quality. This work signifies a pivotal step toward utilizing deep learning for maritime transportation management, emphasizing the potential economic and societal benefits of AI applications in this field.