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The thermal and radiation regimes of any region of the world have a significant impact on the population life safety, as well as the development features of its economy and ecosystems. Therefore, the idea development about the reasons for their change for the Asian territory of Russia is a topical problem of physical geography, ecology, and emergency safety. The thermal regime of each area of the Earth’s surface depends largely on its radiation regime, a significant factor of which is the change in the transparency coefficient of the atmosphere above it. Significant influence on the dynamics of the latter is exerted by variations in the state not only present over this area of aerosol (including cloud cover), but also the corresponding ozone layer. One of the reasons for the latest changes are the flow’s variations of incoming rays to the atmosphere over the studied areas of the Earth’s surface, which affect the intensity of its ionization, as well as the vorticity of the polar vortex. Therefore, a hypothesis has been put forward that the thermal and radiation regimes of the territory under consideration is linked for some spring months with the approach to the peninsular of Taimyr of the North Geomagnetic Pole. Its verification confirmed that the distribution changes of 2000–2024 of the monthly average values of total ozone for spring months over the region under study correspond to existing perceptions about the possible consequences of moving this pole. For many study sites, significant inter-annual changes in this indicator have been identified, as well as a number of characteristics of their radioactive and thermal regime with variations in solar activity that control the flows of incoming cosmic rays, also dependent on the position of the pole. The results suggest that if the pole moves further in the same direction, the rate of warming of the climate of the Asian territory of Russia will increase, and the incoming streams of solar ultraviolet will raise. Ice conditions on the Northern Sea Route will be more favorable for shipping, but in the Arctic Zone of Russia a chance of accidents at man-made facilities and in its Forest Zone fire hazard will increase due to weather conditions.

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Thermal and Radiation Regime Modern Changes of the Asian Territory of Russia, as Well as the Movement of the North Magnetic Pole

  • 章节

  • 发表日期：

    2026年

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  • A. V. Kholoptsev,
  • R. G. Shubkin,
  • A. N. Baturo

摘要

The thermal and radiation regimes of any region of the world have a significant impact on the population life safety, as well as the development features of its economy and ecosystems. Therefore, the idea development about the reasons for their change for the Asian territory of Russia is a topical problem of physical geography, ecology, and emergency safety. The thermal regime of each area of the Earth’s surface depends largely on its radiation regime, a significant factor of which is the change in the transparency coefficient of the atmosphere above it. Significant influence on the dynamics of the latter is exerted by variations in the state not only present over this area of aerosol (including cloud cover), but also the corresponding ozone layer. One of the reasons for the latest changes are the flow’s variations of incoming rays to the atmosphere over the studied areas of the Earth’s surface, which affect the intensity of its ionization, as well as the vorticity of the polar vortex. Therefore, a hypothesis has been put forward that the thermal and radiation regimes of the territory under consideration is linked for some spring months with the approach to the peninsular of Taimyr of the North Geomagnetic Pole. Its verification confirmed that the distribution changes of 2000–2024 of the monthly average values of total ozone for spring months over the region under study correspond to existing perceptions about the possible consequences of moving this pole. For many study sites, significant inter-annual changes in this indicator have been identified, as well as a number of characteristics of their radioactive and thermal regime with variations in solar activity that control the flows of incoming cosmic rays, also dependent on the position of the pole. The results suggest that if the pole moves further in the same direction, the rate of warming of the climate of the Asian territory of Russia will increase, and the incoming streams of solar ultraviolet will raise. Ice conditions on the Northern Sea Route will be more favorable for shipping, but in the Arctic Zone of Russia a chance of accidents at man-made facilities and in its Forest Zone fire hazard will increase due to weather conditions.