This book introduces a methodology termed “economy-energy-emission” coupled dynamic response analysis, which forms the basis for analysis in three selected cities—Zhengzhou, Shijiazhuang, and Huzhou. These cities are chosen as representative cases to examine structural adjustments and governance pathways across comprehensive service-oriented cities, industrial cities, and high-tech cities. Additionally, the study analyzes the co-benefits associated with various measures. The analysis reveals that while end-of-pipe control measures are pivotal in ensuring air quality compliance, they often lack coordinated effects on carbon emission reduction and may even yield adverse consequences. To achieve the objectives of “dual attainments”, alongside end-of-pipe control measures, profound adjustments in energy, industrial, and transportation structures are deemed essential. Industrial sectors and electricity/heat production sectors, driven by air quality objectives, are identified as having the greatest potential for co-benefits in carbon emissions reduction. Policies such as electricity restructuring and the elimination of outdated production capacity are prioritized measures for each city due to their significant co-benefits for carbon emissions reduction. Furthermore, initiatives encompassing total control, industrial energy-saving renovations, elimination of coal-fired boilers, adoption of clean fuels in the civil sector, and restructuring in the transportation sector are highlighted as coordinated measures capable of simultaneously enhancing air quality and reducing CO2 emissions. The profound adjustment of the four major structures stands out as a pivotal driver for fostering green and low-carbon development. Initiatives encompassing total energy consumption control, electricity restructuring, industrial energy conservation and emission reduction, elimination of outdated production capacity, clean fuel adoption in the civil sector, and augmentation of green carbon sinks demonstrate significant co-benefits. A comprehensive examination of factors influencing the timing of “dual attainments” has been conducted, revealing discernible patterns with an expanding scope of studied cities. Recommendations for formulating “dual attainments” policies are posited, drawing upon emission inventories, urban characteristics, and the feasibility of proposed measures. However, it is acknowledged that the research process entails inherent uncertainty, necessitating ongoing exploration and localized advancement of technologies such as emission inventories and air quality simulation to bolster the precision of research outcomes.

Conclusions and Discussion

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发表日期：

2025年

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Yu Bo,
Shida Sun,
Liling Wu,
Kebin He

摘要

This book introduces a methodology termed “economy-energy-emission” coupled dynamic response analysis, which forms the basis for analysis in three selected cities—Zhengzhou, Shijiazhuang, and Huzhou. These cities are chosen as representative cases to examine structural adjustments and governance pathways across comprehensive service-oriented cities, industrial cities, and high-tech cities. Additionally, the study analyzes the co-benefits associated with various measures. The analysis reveals that while end-of-pipe control measures are pivotal in ensuring air quality compliance, they often lack coordinated effects on carbon emission reduction and may even yield adverse consequences. To achieve the objectives of “dual attainments”, alongside end-of-pipe control measures, profound adjustments in energy, industrial, and transportation structures are deemed essential. Industrial sectors and electricity/heat production sectors, driven by air quality objectives, are identified as having the greatest potential for co-benefits in carbon emissions reduction. Policies such as electricity restructuring and the elimination of outdated production capacity are prioritized measures for each city due to their significant co-benefits for carbon emissions reduction. Furthermore, initiatives encompassing total control, industrial energy-saving renovations, elimination of coal-fired boilers, adoption of clean fuels in the civil sector, and restructuring in the transportation sector are highlighted as coordinated measures capable of simultaneously enhancing air quality and reducing CO2 emissions. The profound adjustment of the four major structures stands out as a pivotal driver for fostering green and low-carbon development. Initiatives encompassing total energy consumption control, electricity restructuring, industrial energy conservation and emission reduction, elimination of outdated production capacity, clean fuel adoption in the civil sector, and augmentation of green carbon sinks demonstrate significant co-benefits. A comprehensive examination of factors influencing the timing of “dual attainments” has been conducted, revealing discernible patterns with an expanding scope of studied cities. Recommendations for formulating “dual attainments” policies are posited, drawing upon emission inventories, urban characteristics, and the feasibility of proposed measures. However, it is acknowledged that the research process entails inherent uncertainty, necessitating ongoing exploration and localized advancement of technologies such as emission inventories and air quality simulation to bolster the precision of research outcomes.