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This paper comprehensively analyzes freshwater withdrawal patterns in six UN member countries—China, France, India, Russia, United Kingdom, and the United States. By analyzing historical data, this study explores the time-related trends in the use of water, identifies the factors that drive these patterns, and forecasts future water demands through the application of sophisticated time series modeling techniques, specifically the ARIMA model. Upon analysis of the results, striking differences are observed among the countries in respect to the withdrawal patterns of water and the main drivers behind these; including agricultural practices, industrial activities, demographic growth, governmental policies, among others. The ARIMA model represents the customized specific water usage of each country and provides reliable forecasts that reveal both challenges and opportunities for water resource management in the near future. This research emphasizes the need for proactive policy interventions to promote sustainable water use amid increasing demand and environmental variability.

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Water Withdrawal Trends Across Multiple UN Member Nations Using Time Series Forecasting

  • 会议论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年

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  • Mainak Ghosh,
  • Paramita Ray,
  • Jhilam Mukherjee,
  • Amlan Chakrabarti

摘要

This paper comprehensively analyzes freshwater withdrawal patterns in six UN member countries—China, France, India, Russia, United Kingdom, and the United States. By analyzing historical data, this study explores the time-related trends in the use of water, identifies the factors that drive these patterns, and forecasts future water demands through the application of sophisticated time series modeling techniques, specifically the ARIMA model. Upon analysis of the results, striking differences are observed among the countries in respect to the withdrawal patterns of water and the main drivers behind these; including agricultural practices, industrial activities, demographic growth, governmental policies, among others. The ARIMA model represents the customized specific water usage of each country and provides reliable forecasts that reveal both challenges and opportunities for water resource management in the near future. This research emphasizes the need for proactive policy interventions to promote sustainable water use amid increasing demand and environmental variability.