On Conditional Event Algebra for Probability Reasoning in System Design
摘要
Conditional Event Algebra (CEA) is a novel approach for quantifying probabilistic uncertainty in rule-based systems. It has been investigated by I.R. Goodman and Hung T. Nguyen (1994) to provide a rigorous calculus of uncertain conditionals (uncertain rules in systems, ML, AI) but not very well known in research communities. As such, this paper is somewhat like a tutorial on the development of CEA for probability reasoning in intelligent systems.