Assessing the Financial Impact of Natural Disasters on Global Stock Markets: Evidence from the Five Large Economies
摘要
This study examines the impact of natural disasters, specifically storms, earthquakes, and droughts, on the stock indices of the world's five large stock markets: the United States, China, Japan, Germany, and India. By analyzing year-end closing prices from 2004 to 2022 across major indices, including the S&P 500, CSI 300, DAX, Nikkei 225, and BSE Sensex, we assess how these events influence investor behavior. Using panel regression analysis and the Prais-Winsten Regression technique to address potential autocorrelation, our findings reveal that only earthquakes significantly negatively affect stock markets, leading to an average decrease of 0.0745% in stock indices. In contrast, there is no evidence supporting the impact of storms and droughts on these markets.