The land continually undergoes changes in its usage over time. Using Landsat 5 and Landsat 9 satellite images for the past and present, respectively, the analysis looked at Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) data to anticipate future LULC changes in Meerut District. Predictions were generated using QGIS's MOLUSCE plugin using the years 2011 and 2023 LULC, respectively. Fallow land emerged as the predominant land cover category in all three years (2011- 1324.22 \({\text{km}}^{2}\) , 2023- 1197.16 \({\text{km}}^{2}\) , 2036- 1206.57 \({\text{km}}^{2}\) ), followed by vegetation. Conversely, water bodies and barren land exhibited minimal coverage throughout the study period. The kappa (overall) being 0.95105 for the predicted year 2036. Understanding these trends is crucial for devising strategies to address pressing issues such as urbanization and deforestation. By anticipating future LULC changes, policymakers can implement proactive measures to mitigate adverse impacts on the environment and human well-being. Additionally, by prioritizing sustainable land management practices, communities can safeguard vital resources for future generations. Therefore, ongoing monitoring and analysis of LULC dynamics are essential components of effective land-use planning and environmental stewardship initiatives.

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Fostering Green Equilibrium: Projecting Land Use Changes in Meerut District with Satellite Data

  • Khushbu Joshi,
  • Varun Narayan Mishra,
  • Maya Kumari

摘要

The land continually undergoes changes in its usage over time. Using Landsat 5 and Landsat 9 satellite images for the past and present, respectively, the analysis looked at Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) data to anticipate future LULC changes in Meerut District. Predictions were generated using QGIS's MOLUSCE plugin using the years 2011 and 2023 LULC, respectively. Fallow land emerged as the predominant land cover category in all three years (2011- 1324.22 \({\text{km}}^{2}\) , 2023- 1197.16 \({\text{km}}^{2}\) , 2036- 1206.57 \({\text{km}}^{2}\) ), followed by vegetation. Conversely, water bodies and barren land exhibited minimal coverage throughout the study period. The kappa (overall) being 0.95105 for the predicted year 2036. Understanding these trends is crucial for devising strategies to address pressing issues such as urbanization and deforestation. By anticipating future LULC changes, policymakers can implement proactive measures to mitigate adverse impacts on the environment and human well-being. Additionally, by prioritizing sustainable land management practices, communities can safeguard vital resources for future generations. Therefore, ongoing monitoring and analysis of LULC dynamics are essential components of effective land-use planning and environmental stewardship initiatives.