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Psychological Drivers of Stock Market Behaviour

  • Kok Loang Ooi

摘要

Chapter 7 examines the psychological factors that govern stock market behaviour, emphasising the impact of cognitive biases and emotional stimuli on investing choices and market results. This chapter analyses essential behavioural factors, including fear of missing out, overconfidence bias, herd behaviour, and loss aversion, to clarify their contributions to market anomalies, volatility, and inefficiency. This chapter examines empirical data and theoretical concepts to demonstrate how these biases impede rational decision-making, resulting in expected departures from market efficiency. It examines particular phenomena such as confirmation bias, when investors selectively interpret information that conforms to their expectations, and recency bias, which distorts risk evaluation based on recent occurrences. Cognitive distortions are shown to intensify market trends, aggravate speculative bubbles, and lead to sudden price reversals. This chapter analyses the feedback loops generated by collective investor behaviour, highlighting the influence of social and psychological elements on market sentiment. Chapter 7 illustrates, via case studies and quantitative analyses, how comprehending these psychological factors might enhance investment strategies and regulatory frameworks. This chapter offers a detailed framework for examining the behavioural foundations of stock market volatility, therefore enhancing the discussion on incorporating behavioural finance into financial decision-making and policy formulation.