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Electoral Dynamics in Mongolia’s Model of Democracy

  • Undrakh Davaadorj

摘要

This chapter analyzes the evolving electoral dynamics of Mongolia’s post-1990 “model democracy” by examining three interrelated dimensions: elections and electoral system reforms, patterns of political participation, and the development trajectory of civil society organizations (CSOs). It traces the historical evolution of elections from early twentieth-century experiments with representative institutions through one-party socialist rule to the first free multiparty elections in 1990 and the consolidation of competitive electoral politics under the 1992 Constitution. The chapter reviews successive reforms to parliamentary, presidential, and local electoral laws, including the 2019 constitutional restriction on last-minute rule changes and the 2023 shift to a mixed electoral system (78 majoritarian, 48 proportional seats), highlighting both institutional progress and risks of cartelization by dominant parties. Empirically, it shows declining voter turnout in parliamentary, presidential, and local elections, rising blank voting, and persistently low levels of perceived political efficacy, driven by corruption, weak legal enforcement, declining trust in institutions, and dissatisfaction with party politics. At the same time, Mongolia has seen a quantitative expansion of CSOs and NGOs under a relatively supportive constitutional and legal framework, yet their effectiveness is constrained by an outdated regulatory environment, limited management capacity, financial dependence, and strong concentration in Ulaanbaatar. Overall, the chapter argues that while Mongolia has achieved significant institutionalization of elections and pluralism, declining participation and structurally weak civil society pose growing challenges to the quality and resilience of its democratic model.