Navigating the Alignment Challenge in Southeast Asia Grand Strategy Amid Shifting Global Geopolitics and Geoeconomics
摘要
This chapter articulates the book’s original “5C” track on the connective alignment management (CAM) process detailing how Southeast Asian states can navigate alignment adjustments amid changes in the domestic, regional and international environment including varying degrees of major power competition in the twenty-first century and broader shifts in geopolitics and geoeconomics. The track toward the CAM process leverages the author’s travel to all eleven countries in Southeast Asia and hundreds of conversations with current and former policymakers across Asia, including assessments of the current and future shape of ever-evolving alignment conceptions. The chapter also develops a SPIDER framework to assess alignment web-weaving by Southeast Asian states and a SCRIBE framework on alignment management traits. These frameworks draw on both historical examples as well as insights from cases gleaned from conversations with policymakers across all eleven countries in the region. It also details theoretical implications, recommendations for future research in the field and summaries on the testing of the balance of alignment model and findings from the five case studies, including differences witnessed between expected and actual outcomes.