Global Impact of AI by 2030 and Beyond: Roadmap for the Next Decade

This chapter examines the global impact of artificial intelligence through 2030 and beyond, weighing its transformative potential against emerging risks. AI offers substantial benefits in scalability, efficiency, and data-driven decision-making, yet these same strengths amplify economic divides, cybersecurity vulnerabilities, and national security threats. The chapter explores regulatory approaches, distinguishing between prescriptive and performance-based frameworks, and argues that well-designed regulation can promote rather than hinder innovation. It critically assesses the concept of AI sovereignty, cautioning that vague formulations may serve state interests over citizen empowerment and deepen geo-economic tensions. The analysis highlights structural imbalances between the Global North and Global South in infrastructure, data access, and governance participation. Looking ahead, the chapter identifies priorities for global collaboration: foundational AI infrastructure and data commons, cross-border education and capability building, and harmonized governance frameworks. Inclusive, multilateral cooperation emerges as essential for ensuring that AI development is both equitable and responsible.