Elections Without Alternation in Algeria: Protest Cycles and FLN Continuity Under Military Guardianship
摘要
This chapter analyses Algeria’s elections since the 1989 constitutional opening and shows that regular multiparty contests have not produced alternation. The Front de Libération Nationale, in enduring alignment with the army, remains the anchor of the regime. The study examines the parliamentary elections of 2012, 2017, and 2021, documents a sustained fall in participation (from 43.14 per cent to 23.03 per cent), and traces how legal design and administrative practice shape outcomes. Institutional adjustments after the Hirak from 2019 to 2021, including the resignation of President Bouteflika, high-profile prosecutions, and the creation of the National Independent Election Authority (ANIE) and a Constitutional Court, signalled responsiveness but preserved control. The 2021 shift to open-list proportional representation redirected competition towards candidate-centred lists and independents, which weakened programme-based coordination. Hydrocarbon income and patronage reduced pressure for structural reform. A short comparison with Egypt, Morocco, Jordan, Iraq, and Tunisia places Algeria within broader patterns of electoral authoritarianism and managed pluralism. The conclusion argues for an autonomous election authority and for transparent, verifiable results. It also calls for rule changes that lower barriers to pre-electoral coordination and reduce fragmentation. Without these steps, participation is likely to remain thin and elections will continue to reproduce continuity rather than alternation.