In elementary probability theory, conditional probabilities are calculated given a finite number of events or random variables. These are based on appropriate conditional probability distributions. More generally, we may consider calculating conditional probabilities and conditional expectations given _-fields. In this chapter these ideas are made rigorous with the help of the Radon-Nikodym theorem. The theory of Markov processes and of martingales rest on these notions.

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Conditional expectation

  • Arup Bose

摘要

In elementary probability theory, conditional probabilities are calculated given a finite number of events or random variables. These are based on appropriate conditional probability distributions. More generally, we may consider calculating conditional probabilities and conditional expectations given _-fields. In this chapter these ideas are made rigorous with the help of the Radon-Nikodym theorem. The theory of Markov processes and of martingales rest on these notions.