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This study focuses on the resilience and coordinated development mechanisms of the Bohai Bay urban agglomeration in the context of globalization. By constructing a resilience analysis framework based on the functional resonance model, we conducted a multidimensional quantitative assessment of the resilience of 16 major port cities. The study utilized multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques to analyze the resilience of port facilities along the Bohai coast. Furthermore, we employed Bayesian network models to reveal the coupling resilience between ports and cities and analyze the resilience levels under different external shocks. The results indicate that the selected port cities have experienced an average growth of 0.672 in urban resilience and 0.837 in port resilience over the 14-year investigation period. National policies significantly guide the resilience of port-city systems, but overly strong port resilience may lead to competitive relationships with neighboring ports, thereby inhibiting the overall growth of resilience. Moreover, port development has a positive impact on enhancing urban resilience, while in certain cases, urban development may reduce the resilience of ports.

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Research on the Evaluation and Coordinated Development Mechanism of the Resilience of the Bohai Bay Port Cluster and Urban Agglomeration from a Multimodel Integration Perspective

  • 会议论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年

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  • Renxiang Jia,
  • Hongming Zhang,
  • Yuming Liu,
  • Jiarui Xi,
  • Yu Zhu

摘要

This study focuses on the resilience and coordinated development mechanisms of the Bohai Bay urban agglomeration in the context of globalization. By constructing a resilience analysis framework based on the functional resonance model, we conducted a multidimensional quantitative assessment of the resilience of 16 major port cities. The study utilized multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques to analyze the resilience of port facilities along the Bohai coast. Furthermore, we employed Bayesian network models to reveal the coupling resilience between ports and cities and analyze the resilience levels under different external shocks. The results indicate that the selected port cities have experienced an average growth of 0.672 in urban resilience and 0.837 in port resilience over the 14-year investigation period. National policies significantly guide the resilience of port-city systems, but overly strong port resilience may lead to competitive relationships with neighboring ports, thereby inhibiting the overall growth of resilience. Moreover, port development has a positive impact on enhancing urban resilience, while in certain cases, urban development may reduce the resilience of ports.