Predictive Models

This chapter introduces the topic of predictive models in sports. These models are driven by the idea of coming up with the most accurate data-based estimates of the probabilities of future events. This includes aspects as diverse as the outcomes of sports competitions, the tactical behaviour of teams on the field, or the frequency of injuries. The ability to accurately forecast such events enables bookmakers to improve their business model in the sports betting market. Moreover, it gives competitive advantages to sports teams with regard to both sporting and financial aspects. Predictive models, therefore, represent a relevant and highly interdisciplinary field of research that connects the domains of sports science, economics, mathematics, and computer science.