How do we estimate the probability of something occurring? Sometimes, estimating probabilities can be very hard. If we are asked to estimate the probability of a female US president, or of peace in the Middle East, or even of your favorite team winning the championship, probability estimates are difficult and may be controversial.

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Introduction to Probabilities and Hypothesis Testing

  • Alan Garfinkel,
  • Yina Guo

摘要

How do we estimate the probability of something occurring? Sometimes, estimating probabilities can be very hard. If we are asked to estimate the probability of a female US president, or of peace in the Middle East, or even of your favorite team winning the championship, probability estimates are difficult and may be controversial.