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This chapter evaluates the vulnerability ofUrban green spaces urban green spacesGreen spaces (UGS) within the Kolkata Municipal CorporationKolkata Municipal Corporation (KMC) by applying an integrated geospatial and multi-criteria modeling approach. Ten indicators derived from the Pressure State Response (PSR) framework were prioritized using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHPAnalytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)) to generate a weighted vulnerability index. Spatial overlay analysis revealed that more than 80% of UGS are currently classified as “highly vulnerable,” primarily due to accelerating urban expansion, infrastructure development, and intensive human pressures. To assess long-term sustainability, CA-MarkovCA-Markov simulation modeling was employed to simulate future land use dynamics, projecting a severe decline in green space by 2040 if existing trends persist. The study highlights that environmental instability, loss of ecological buffering capacity, and increased climate-related risks are imminent consequences of shrinking UGS. The chapter emphasizes the need for proactive ecological restoration, zoning regulations, and climate-adaptive urban planning to ensure sustainable green infrastructureGreen infrastructure and long-term urban resilience.

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Urban Green Space Vulnerability and Future Sustainability Strategies

  • 章节

  • 发表日期：

    2026年

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  • Md Babor Ali,
  • Saleha Jamal

摘要

This chapter evaluates the vulnerability ofUrban green spaces urban green spacesGreen spaces (UGS) within the Kolkata Municipal CorporationKolkata Municipal Corporation (KMC) by applying an integrated geospatial and multi-criteria modeling approach. Ten indicators derived from the Pressure State Response (PSR) framework were prioritized using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHPAnalytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)) to generate a weighted vulnerability index. Spatial overlay analysis revealed that more than 80% of UGS are currently classified as “highly vulnerable,” primarily due to accelerating urban expansion, infrastructure development, and intensive human pressures. To assess long-term sustainability, CA-MarkovCA-Markov simulation modeling was employed to simulate future land use dynamics, projecting a severe decline in green space by 2040 if existing trends persist. The study highlights that environmental instability, loss of ecological buffering capacity, and increased climate-related risks are imminent consequences of shrinking UGS. The chapter emphasizes the need for proactive ecological restoration, zoning regulations, and climate-adaptive urban planning to ensure sustainable green infrastructureGreen infrastructure and long-term urban resilience.