Anatomy of Success: On Strategic Intelligence and Its Relevance
摘要
This article studies perceived intelligence successes instead of the often-researched failures. The aim is to find common and distinctive indicators for successes by comparing three cases involving strategic intelligence: the intelligence support for the Northern Ireland negotiations in 1998, the French 2013 military intervention in Mali and the Swedish strategic turnaround in the mid-2010s. The cases examined illustrate the fundamental role of strategic intelligence in shaping and supporting national strategy. The most important finding is how a clear and well-communicated national strategy is essential for intelligence to provide relevant and actionable insights. Intelligence can be effectively utilised when requirements are precisely defined for the intelligence community and through maintaining a functional consumer-producer relationship. Understanding strategies, requirements and intelligence’s support mechanisms is fundamental for both the intelligence community and decision-makers, while determining what information holds strategic relevance remains a challenge for everyone.