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Scientific prediction has long been a subject of significant debate in the history and philosophy of science. Central issues in this debate are the role and significance of prediction in the scientific process, and the epistemic weight of prediction compared to other theoretical virtues, such as explanatory power. Besides those well-studied issues, however, there are other equally important, yet largely overlooked, issues regarding prediction, including the very criteria for what constitutes a successful prediction, the shifting role of prediction over time, the gap between high-level theory and predictions of particular phenomena, and the role of predictions in shaping public policy. The aim of this introduction is to sketch these latter issues and how they are addressed in the chapters to follow.

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Introduction

  • 章节

  • 发表日期：

    2026年

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  • Theodore Arabatzis,
  • Stathis Arapostathis,
  • Iraklis Katsaloulis,
  • Aristotle Tympas

摘要

Scientific prediction has long been a subject of significant debate in the history and philosophy of science. Central issues in this debate are the role and significance of prediction in the scientific process, and the epistemic weight of prediction compared to other theoretical virtues, such as explanatory power. Besides those well-studied issues, however, there are other equally important, yet largely overlooked, issues regarding prediction, including the very criteria for what constitutes a successful prediction, the shifting role of prediction over time, the gap between high-level theory and predictions of particular phenomena, and the role of predictions in shaping public policy. The aim of this introduction is to sketch these latter issues and how they are addressed in the chapters to follow.