Comparison of LSTM, CNN, and Novel Hybrid Models for Indian PSU Stock Prediction
摘要
This study compares the performance of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), and a novel hybrid CNN-LSTM approach for predicting stock prices of Indian public sector undertakings (PSUs): BPCL, NHPC, NMDC, and SBIN, representing diverse sectors such as energy, power, mining, and banking. Using historical stock data from January 1, 2000, to January 31, 2025, along with technical indicators, models were trained and evaluated through time series forecasting techniques. Results indicate that LSTM outperforms other models for BPCL, NHPC, and NMDC, capturing long-term dependencies with the highest R2 values (up to 0.9942) and lowest errors. For SBIN, CNN achieves better accuracy (R2 = 0.9401), excelling in short-term trend detection. Surprisingly, the hybrid CNN-LSTM model does not surpass standalone models, suggesting that individual architectures may be more effective. Future research should explore ensemble techniques to enhance predictive performance.