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The efficiency of road freight transport in Spain, focusing on journeys made by unloaded vehicles, was analyzed in this study. Empty journeys represent a significant portion of the total journey and impact on the efficiency of the sector. Data from the Permanent Survey of Road Freight Transport in Spain, covering a 14-year period, were used to apply prediction techniques using an autoregressive process in Python. The results suggest a trend of increasing kilometers traveled, both loaded and unloaded, indicating a lack of improvement in road transport efficiency. The forecasting techniques employed proved to be accurate, with the best results obtained using the LASSO model.

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Analysis and Prediction of Unloaded Road Freight Transport in Spain

  • 会议论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Miguel Manzanedo Saiz,
  • Roberto Alcalde,
  • Carlos Alonso de Armiño,
  • Belén Alonso Nuñez,
  • Nuño Basurto

摘要

The efficiency of road freight transport in Spain, focusing on journeys made by unloaded vehicles, was analyzed in this study. Empty journeys represent a significant portion of the total journey and impact on the efficiency of the sector. Data from the Permanent Survey of Road Freight Transport in Spain, covering a 14-year period, were used to apply prediction techniques using an autoregressive process in Python. The results suggest a trend of increasing kilometers traveled, both loaded and unloaded, indicating a lack of improvement in road transport efficiency. The forecasting techniques employed proved to be accurate, with the best results obtained using the LASSO model.