Religion, Caste and Contingency: Electoral Politics in UP
摘要
This chapter examines the strident contest between the newly formed INDIA Alliance (IA) and the BJP-led NDA, on Hindutva versus democracy in the 2024 general elections and why it could not be sustained, despite the former making a considerable dent in the hegemonic position occupied by the BJP. The BJP-led NDA failed to gain a majority; in UP a key state, it gained just 36 seats, half of what it gained in 2019, while the IA gained 43. In UP, rather than communal mobilization, caste identity underlay the shift of a section of Dalits and OBCs towards the IA whose leaders consistently campaigned on issues creating dissatisfaction: inflation, unemployment, BJP’s refusal to hold a caste census and fear among Dalits of change in the Constitution that has provided them reservation. However, in Assembly Elections in Haryana and by-polls in UP held in November 2024, the BJP with a careful selection of campaign issues that appealed to Dalits/OBCs made a comeback gaining a majority in Haryana and winning most seats in the UP by-polls. In sum, despite the IA’s impressive success in the 2024 elections, a Hindu majoritarian government remains in power and the difficult struggle to save democracy continues.