Predictive Maintenance (PdM) aims to prevent failures through early detection, yet lacks explainability to support decision-making. Current PdM models often identify failures, but fail to explain their root causes, especially in real-world scenarios, with complex and limited labeled data. This study proposes an interpretable framework that combines LSTM-based Anomaly Detection with a dual-layered Root Cause Analysis (RCA) based on SHAP attributions. Applied to a real-world dataset, the method detects degradation transitions, tracks failure patterns over time, and provides interpretable information without explicit root cause labels.

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Interpretable Predictive Maintenance: Combining Anomaly Detection with Quantitative Root Cause Analysis

  • Inês Barbosa,
  • João Gama,
  • Bruno Veloso

摘要

Predictive Maintenance (PdM) aims to prevent failures through early detection, yet lacks explainability to support decision-making. Current PdM models often identify failures, but fail to explain their root causes, especially in real-world scenarios, with complex and limited labeled data. This study proposes an interpretable framework that combines LSTM-based Anomaly Detection with a dual-layered Root Cause Analysis (RCA) based on SHAP attributions. Applied to a real-world dataset, the method detects degradation transitions, tracks failure patterns over time, and provides interpretable information without explicit root cause labels.