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This last chapter summarizes a review conducted by EirGrid and SONI of the reserve services for the AIPS. The chapter also presents the Volume Forecasting Methodology (VFM) the TSOs have developed to forecast reserve volumes over different time frames namely long-term (10 years ahead), medium-term (1–2 years ahead), and short-term (week to day-ahead). The review and VFM aim at ensuring reserve services can help to achieve 2030 RES targets and, at the same time, addressing several trends and evolving risks such as OF events, faster-happening frequency nadir/zenith, and higher RoCoF.

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New Reserves and Volume Forecasting

  • 章节

  • 发表日期：

    2026年

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  • Taulant Kërçi,
  • Federico Milano

摘要

This last chapter summarizes a review conducted by EirGrid and SONI of the reserve services for the AIPS. The chapter also presents the Volume Forecasting Methodology (VFM) the TSOs have developed to forecast reserve volumes over different time frames namely long-term (10 years ahead), medium-term (1–2 years ahead), and short-term (week to day-ahead). The review and VFM aim at ensuring reserve services can help to achieve 2030 RES targets and, at the same time, addressing several trends and evolving risks such as OF events, faster-happening frequency nadir/zenith, and higher RoCoF.