Load forecasting is crucial in power system energy management, aiding planning and operations. This chapter focuses on using the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) to model Hossana City’s power consumption in Ethiopia, forecasting beyond the available data for the next decade. To address the challenges of complex and widely distributed power systems, this study incorporated demographic factors. Performance evaluations show that ANFIS outperforms ANN, with a 2.0196% improvement in the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and 2.859984 in the root mean squared error (RMSE). The model demonstrates effective load forecasting based on previous data training and promises reliable future predictions.

错误:搜索内容不能为空,请输入英文关键词
错误:关键词超出字数限制,请精简
高级检索

Implementation of an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System for Electric Power Consumption Prediction

  • Molla Addisu Mossie,
  • Estifanos Abeje Sharew,
  • Alebachew Kassie Anley,
  • Yesuneh Getachew Taye

摘要

Load forecasting is crucial in power system energy management, aiding planning and operations. This chapter focuses on using the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) to model Hossana City’s power consumption in Ethiopia, forecasting beyond the available data for the next decade. To address the challenges of complex and widely distributed power systems, this study incorporated demographic factors. Performance evaluations show that ANFIS outperforms ANN, with a 2.0196% improvement in the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and 2.859984 in the root mean squared error (RMSE). The model demonstrates effective load forecasting based on previous data training and promises reliable future predictions.