Accurate energy consumption forecasting is essential for optimizing energy management in smart grids. Traditional models often fail to capture both short-term fluctuations and long-term dependencies. To address this, we propose a hybrid CNN-LSTM model enhanced with Fourier Transform features. CNNs extract local patterns, LSTMs model temporal dependencies, and Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) incorporates frequency-domain insights to improve trend recognition. Evaluated on real-world StoreNet energy data, the proposed model outperforms baseline LSTM and traditional forecasting methods. It achieves lower Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) while increasing the R \(^2\) score, demonstrating superior predictive accuracy. Additionally, a 5.04% SMAPE reduction highlights improved robustness. By integrating deep learning with spectral analysis, this approach provides a more accurate and stable solution for energy forecasting, supporting smart grid optimization and demand-side management.

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Hybrid CNN-LSTM Model for Energy Consumption Prediction Using Fourier Transform Features in Renewable Energy Communities

  • Mahmoud Abbasi,
  • Javier Prieto,
  • Diego Valdeolmillos,
  • Sergio Alonso Rollán

摘要

Accurate energy consumption forecasting is essential for optimizing energy management in smart grids. Traditional models often fail to capture both short-term fluctuations and long-term dependencies. To address this, we propose a hybrid CNN-LSTM model enhanced with Fourier Transform features. CNNs extract local patterns, LSTMs model temporal dependencies, and Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) incorporates frequency-domain insights to improve trend recognition. Evaluated on real-world StoreNet energy data, the proposed model outperforms baseline LSTM and traditional forecasting methods. It achieves lower Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) while increasing the R \(^2\) score, demonstrating superior predictive accuracy. Additionally, a 5.04% SMAPE reduction highlights improved robustness. By integrating deep learning with spectral analysis, this approach provides a more accurate and stable solution for energy forecasting, supporting smart grid optimization and demand-side management.