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The article presents maps of uncertainties and risks in the calculation of hydrocarbon reserves using fuzzy set theory. To assess the reliability of the calculation of the volume of reserves, an estimate of the calculation error of each parameter included in the calculation formula was used. Maps of membership functions, that is, networks, were constructed for the calculation of parameters. Diagrams were prepared to analyze the sensitivity of the calculation results depending on the uncertainty of the initial data. The advantages of using fuzzy set theory in solving the problems of monitoring and managing the development processes of oil and gas fields under uncertainty are described on the basis of specific practical examples. #CSOC1120.

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Construction of Uncertainty and Risk Maps When Calculating Hydrocarbon Reserves

  • 会议论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Imran Y. Bayramov,
  • Salahaddin I. Yusifov,
  • Rauf A. Mayilov

摘要

The article presents maps of uncertainties and risks in the calculation of hydrocarbon reserves using fuzzy set theory. To assess the reliability of the calculation of the volume of reserves, an estimate of the calculation error of each parameter included in the calculation formula was used. Maps of membership functions, that is, networks, were constructed for the calculation of parameters. Diagrams were prepared to analyze the sensitivity of the calculation results depending on the uncertainty of the initial data. The advantages of using fuzzy set theory in solving the problems of monitoring and managing the development processes of oil and gas fields under uncertainty are described on the basis of specific practical examples. #CSOC1120.