This paper examines the spatio-temporal evolution of individuals aged 80 and over across Italian provinces from 2010 to 2022. From a methodological point of view, we employ a well-established Bayesian model for spatio-temporal disease mapping, with particular attention to model parameterization, the application of appropriate constraints, and the specification of priors. For the latter, we use design- and structure-dependent priors that account for both the design and structure matrices involved in defining the prior distributions of the random effects.

错误:搜索内容不能为空,请输入英文关键词
错误:关键词超出字数限制,请精简
高级检索

Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Elderly Mortality in Italy with Design and Structure Dependent Priors

  • Aldo Gardini,
  • Fedele Greco,
  • Carlo Trivisano

摘要

This paper examines the spatio-temporal evolution of individuals aged 80 and over across Italian provinces from 2010 to 2022. From a methodological point of view, we employ a well-established Bayesian model for spatio-temporal disease mapping, with particular attention to model parameterization, the application of appropriate constraints, and the specification of priors. For the latter, we use design- and structure-dependent priors that account for both the design and structure matrices involved in defining the prior distributions of the random effects.