We set up the theoretical foundations for a high-dimensional functional factor model approach in the analysis of large cross-sections (panels) of functional time series (FTS). We first establish a representation result stating that, under mild assumptions on the covariance operator of the cross-section, we can represent each FTS as the sum of a common component driven by scalar factors loaded via functional loadings, and a mildly cross-correlated idiosyncratic component. Our model and theory are developed in a general Hilbert space setting that allows for mixed panels of functional and scalar time series.We then turn to the identification of the number of factors, and the estimation of the factors, their loadings, and the common components. We provide a family of information criteria for identifying the number of factors, and prove their consistency. We provide average error bounds for the estimators of the factors, loadings, and common component; our results encompass the scalar case, for which they reproduce and extend, under weaker conditions, well-established similar results. Under slightly stronger assumptions, we also provide uniform bounds for the estimators of factors, loadings, and common component, thus extending existing scalar results. Our consistency results in the asymptotic regime where the number N of series and the number T of time observations diverge thus extend to the functional context the “blessing of dimensionality” that explains the success of factor models in the analysis of high-dimensional (scalar) time series.

错误:搜索内容不能为空,请输入英文关键词
错误:关键词超出字数限制,请精简
高级检索

Factor Models for High-Dimensional Functional Time Series

  • Shahin Tavakoli,
  • Gilles Nisol,
  • Marc Hallin

摘要

We set up the theoretical foundations for a high-dimensional functional factor model approach in the analysis of large cross-sections (panels) of functional time series (FTS). We first establish a representation result stating that, under mild assumptions on the covariance operator of the cross-section, we can represent each FTS as the sum of a common component driven by scalar factors loaded via functional loadings, and a mildly cross-correlated idiosyncratic component. Our model and theory are developed in a general Hilbert space setting that allows for mixed panels of functional and scalar time series.We then turn to the identification of the number of factors, and the estimation of the factors, their loadings, and the common components. We provide a family of information criteria for identifying the number of factors, and prove their consistency. We provide average error bounds for the estimators of the factors, loadings, and common component; our results encompass the scalar case, for which they reproduce and extend, under weaker conditions, well-established similar results. Under slightly stronger assumptions, we also provide uniform bounds for the estimators of factors, loadings, and common component, thus extending existing scalar results. Our consistency results in the asymptotic regime where the number N of series and the number T of time observations diverge thus extend to the functional context the “blessing of dimensionality” that explains the success of factor models in the analysis of high-dimensional (scalar) time series.