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The presidential re-election of Donald J. Trump in 2024 marked the second time he won the Catholic vote. According to the AP VoteCast exit poll, Trump’s electoral showing among several religious voting blocs in 2024 was similar to his showing in 2020 when he lost to Joe Biden. The key difference was the Catholic vote, which Trump is estimated to have won in 2024 over Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris by a margin of 54–44%. The racial divide among Catholic voters was notable, with about 60% of White Catholics supporting Trump and 60% of Latino Catholics supporting Harris. Nonetheless, Democratic nominees for president in the past have generally fared even better among Latino Catholics than did Harris in 2024. As scholar John Kenneth White noted after Trump’s election, Trump’s “performance with Hispanics was the best [for a Republican] since George W. Bush in 2004”. The CNN exit poll revealed a gender gap among Latino voters, with Latino men favoring Trump 54–44%, a significant shift from 2020 when Joe Biden won that group 59–36%.

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The “Catholic Vote” in the United States

  • 章节

  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Mark J. Rozell

摘要

The presidential re-election of Donald J. Trump in 2024 marked the second time he won the Catholic vote. According to the AP VoteCast exit poll, Trump’s electoral showing among several religious voting blocs in 2024 was similar to his showing in 2020 when he lost to Joe Biden. The key difference was the Catholic vote, which Trump is estimated to have won in 2024 over Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris by a margin of 54–44%. The racial divide among Catholic voters was notable, with about 60% of White Catholics supporting Trump and 60% of Latino Catholics supporting Harris. Nonetheless, Democratic nominees for president in the past have generally fared even better among Latino Catholics than did Harris in 2024. As scholar John Kenneth White noted after Trump’s election, Trump’s “performance with Hispanics was the best [for a Republican] since George W. Bush in 2004”. The CNN exit poll revealed a gender gap among Latino voters, with Latino men favoring Trump 54–44%, a significant shift from 2020 when Joe Biden won that group 59–36%.