Uncertainty Management in a Decision Context: What We Learned from the Decision Center for a Desert City
摘要
The Decision Center for a Desert City (DCDC) was established in 2004 with funding from the National Science Foundation’s decision-making under uncertainty (DMUU) initiative with the goal of more effective adaptation in the face of uncertain future climate conditions. The research program centered on water resource management in the desert metropolis of Phoenix because water is central to urban growth and livability, and there are profound uncertainties associated with future supply, demand, and governance. The 20-year history of DCDC exemplifies the challenges and opportunities for uncertainty research and decision support for urban water management.