The example demonstrates how the methods developed earlier can be utilized to determine uncertainty distributions for key milestones, and how these results can assist executive management in assessing schedule-induced risks to achieving its objectives. The chapter describes how Monte Carlo simulations can be conducted to evaluate the key milestone slippage risks, how related performance measures at the objectives level can be correspondingly defined and evaluated, how experts’ and stakeholders’ opinions can be elicited and utilized in the process, and how this information can be assembled to calculate schedule risk undesirability scores that can be displayed on spider charts.

错误:搜索内容不能为空,请输入英文关键词
错误:关键词超出字数限制,请精简
高级检索

Example No. 2 on Multi-Year Milestone Risk Analysis

  • Allan S. Benjamin

摘要

The example demonstrates how the methods developed earlier can be utilized to determine uncertainty distributions for key milestones, and how these results can assist executive management in assessing schedule-induced risks to achieving its objectives. The chapter describes how Monte Carlo simulations can be conducted to evaluate the key milestone slippage risks, how related performance measures at the objectives level can be correspondingly defined and evaluated, how experts’ and stakeholders’ opinions can be elicited and utilized in the process, and how this information can be assembled to calculate schedule risk undesirability scores that can be displayed on spider charts.