Solar PV Power Generation Forecasting Using Synergy of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics Based Approaches
摘要
In this paper, a novel method for forecasting solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation is presented which plays an essential role in grid stability of renewable energy rich power systems. This study utilizes some artificial intelligence (AI) and meta-heuristic approaches such as Random Forest Regressor (RFR), Logistic Regression and Neural Networks, along with Genetic Algorithm (GA). The framework uses the capability of AI models to learn complex relationships in the solar irradiance and weather data. Further, the parameters of these models are optimized by Genetic Algorithm which leads to more accuracy. The study uses various timescales and accuracy metrics such as Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), R-squared, etc. The results show the higher accuracy of hybrid methods than the standalone models of forecasting. This process increases both precision and accuracy. It also provides insights for future research such as investigating ensemble forecasting methodologies to improve solar PV power generation forecasts.