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This chapter explores the forecasting and modeling of solar power plant (SPP) capacities in Ukraine and Germany up to 2050, alongside the integrated operation of Ukraine’s power system (IPS) with neighboring countries (Poland, Romania, Hungary). Utilizing economic-mathematical models and scenarios, the study provides projections for solar energy development and outlines methodologies for economic-technological forecasting of energy system operations. The results, including scenarios for solar energy systems and electricity consumption structures in Ukraine’s IPS until 2040, underscore the importance of synchronized operation with neighboring countries for environmental sustainability and renewable energy integration. Comparative analysis of electrical loads and inter-country electricity exchanges highlights the dynamic energy consumption patterns and the. significance of cross-border energy cooperation. The study also assesses Ukraine’s generating capacities and proposes future scenarios, emphasizing the necessity for enhanced storage, reserve capacities, and cross-border transmission for maintaining stability and reliability. The chapter concludes with validated model calculations, offering vital insights for policymakers and energy stakeholders engaged in planning and upgrading energy systems, stressing the critical role of integrated and synchronous energy operations with European networks.

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Modeling and Synchronizing Energy Systems of Ukraine and Europe: A 2050 Perspective

  • 章节

  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Artur Zaporozhets,
  • Mykhailo Kulyk,
  • Vitalii Babak,
  • Viktor Denysov

摘要

This chapter explores the forecasting and modeling of solar power plant (SPP) capacities in Ukraine and Germany up to 2050, alongside the integrated operation of Ukraine’s power system (IPS) with neighboring countries (Poland, Romania, Hungary). Utilizing economic-mathematical models and scenarios, the study provides projections for solar energy development and outlines methodologies for economic-technological forecasting of energy system operations. The results, including scenarios for solar energy systems and electricity consumption structures in Ukraine’s IPS until 2040, underscore the importance of synchronized operation with neighboring countries for environmental sustainability and renewable energy integration. Comparative analysis of electrical loads and inter-country electricity exchanges highlights the dynamic energy consumption patterns and the. significance of cross-border energy cooperation. The study also assesses Ukraine’s generating capacities and proposes future scenarios, emphasizing the necessity for enhanced storage, reserve capacities, and cross-border transmission for maintaining stability and reliability. The chapter concludes with validated model calculations, offering vital insights for policymakers and energy stakeholders engaged in planning and upgrading energy systems, stressing the critical role of integrated and synchronous energy operations with European networks.