Origins of the Russo-Ukraine War: A Brief Narrative

Focussing on the political, diplomatic, and economic uncertainties characterising the Russo-Ukraine War, this chapter analyses the ongoing conflict, framing it as a significant and ongoing project marked by geopolitical, geo-economic, and socio-cultural complexities. It is argued that since its inception in 2014 and escalation in 2022, the war has profoundly impacted the regional and global order, shaking up established international relations and security paradigms. Therefore, the chapter critically analyses the historical background of the conflict, including post-Cold War dynamics, Ukrainian national identity, and the interplay of Western and Russian influences. Through the lens of Realist international relations theory, the chapter unpacks the war’s progression, actions taken by key actors, and the ever-shifting political, military, and economic measures, highlighting the fluidity and uncertainties of the war. By embedding the conflict within broader Realist international relations theory frameworks, the chapter provides insights into the implications of the war for the future of the EU and Eastern Europe and the evolving question of Ukraine’s sovereignty.