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Medical uncertainty comes in two forms: natural uncertainty in the world and cognitive uncertainty in people’s minds. I explicate this distinction between aleatoric uncertainty as uncertainty of something (A-uncertainty) and epistemic uncertainty as uncertainty about something (E-uncertainty), and reject quasi-determinism in favor of a soft developmental indeterminism.

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Two Kinds of Uncertainty

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  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Olaf Dammann

摘要

Medical uncertainty comes in two forms: natural uncertainty in the world and cognitive uncertainty in people’s minds. I explicate this distinction between aleatoric uncertainty as uncertainty of something (A-uncertainty) and epistemic uncertainty as uncertainty about something (E-uncertainty), and reject quasi-determinism in favor of a soft developmental indeterminism.