Formation of the Core Model of the Energy Consumption Management System of Production Systems

The work examines the further development of the functional approach to managing the power consumption regime, in which the functional structure of thecore of the control system is an ordered set of information-related blocks of the main control functions of the Electrical Power Supply (EPS). A comparative analysis of various models for planning electrical power and energy of enterprises from the simplest deterministic models using orthodox methods was carried out: “direct proportional distribution”; “auction”; “reverse priorities” to probabilistic dynamic models based on probability theory and mathematical statistics using the fundamental principles of the calculus of variations. In particular, on the basis of the Bayesian approach, a probabilistic optimization dynamic non-stationary model is proposed using methods of fuzzy set theory, and its clear advantages compared to orthodox planning models are shown.