Contemporary urban landscapes face increasing pressure on natural and semi-natural elements, threatening vital ecosystem services. The proliferation of sealed surfaces precipitates a decline in crucial ecosystem services, pivotal for enriching urban environments and augmenting economic and cultural well-being. Recognised as a sustainable development approach, green infrastructure emerges as a multifunctional and strategically planned to counterbalance these pressures. The amalgamation of rapid urbanisation and climate variability paints an enigmatic future for urban landscapes, necessitating methodologies conducive to more apparent scenario analyses. A Geodesign framework emerges as a systematic instrument, furnishing a nexus of interconnected facts that foster discerning deliberation and facilitate optimal solutions for improving urban landscape resilience. Research endeavours pivot towards applying Geodesign’s Change and Impact models to green infrastructure, focusing on evaluating primary ecosystem services within the urban matrix. The foundational blueprint for Belgrade`s green infrastructure is delineated within the General Regulation Plan of the Green Area System, further refined by the draft version of the Master Plan. The current state of the urban landscape structure, coupled with planned enhancements through integrating new green infrastructure elements at the watershed level, represents the main spatial context. An array of geostatistical models furnishes profound insights into the dynamics of natural processes, elucidating ecosystem services at the landscape level.

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Geodesign Framework in Green Infrastructure Planning: Prioritizing Uncertainty in the Future of Urban Ecosystem Services

  • Boris Radić,
  • Suzana Gavrilović,
  • Siniša Polovina

摘要

Contemporary urban landscapes face increasing pressure on natural and semi-natural elements, threatening vital ecosystem services. The proliferation of sealed surfaces precipitates a decline in crucial ecosystem services, pivotal for enriching urban environments and augmenting economic and cultural well-being. Recognised as a sustainable development approach, green infrastructure emerges as a multifunctional and strategically planned to counterbalance these pressures. The amalgamation of rapid urbanisation and climate variability paints an enigmatic future for urban landscapes, necessitating methodologies conducive to more apparent scenario analyses. A Geodesign framework emerges as a systematic instrument, furnishing a nexus of interconnected facts that foster discerning deliberation and facilitate optimal solutions for improving urban landscape resilience. Research endeavours pivot towards applying Geodesign’s Change and Impact models to green infrastructure, focusing on evaluating primary ecosystem services within the urban matrix. The foundational blueprint for Belgrade`s green infrastructure is delineated within the General Regulation Plan of the Green Area System, further refined by the draft version of the Master Plan. The current state of the urban landscape structure, coupled with planned enhancements through integrating new green infrastructure elements at the watershed level, represents the main spatial context. An array of geostatistical models furnishes profound insights into the dynamics of natural processes, elucidating ecosystem services at the landscape level.