With the serious danger to nature and humanity that forest fires are, taken into consideration, this work aims to develop an artificial intelligence model capable of accurately predicting the forest fire risk in a certain region based on four different factors: temperature, wind speed, rain and humidity. Thus, three models were created using three different approaches: Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Random Forest (RF), and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and making use of an Algerian forest fire dataset. The ANN and RF both achieved high accuracy results of 97%, while the KNN achieved a slightly lower average of 91%.

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Forest Fire Risk Prediction Using Machine Learning

  • J. D. Vilaças Nogueira,
  • E. J. Solteiro Pires,
  • Arsénio Reis,
  • P. B. de Moura Oliveira,
  • António Pereira,
  • João Barroso

摘要

With the serious danger to nature and humanity that forest fires are, taken into consideration, this work aims to develop an artificial intelligence model capable of accurately predicting the forest fire risk in a certain region based on four different factors: temperature, wind speed, rain and humidity. Thus, three models were created using three different approaches: Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Random Forest (RF), and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and making use of an Algerian forest fire dataset. The ANN and RF both achieved high accuracy results of 97%, while the KNN achieved a slightly lower average of 91%.